Free Tool

Texas Solar Savings Calculator

The 30% federal solar tax credit is gone for homeowner-owned systems as of 2026. See what solar actually costs now, compare buy vs. lease, and calculate your real payback.

2026 Federal Credit Update

The 30% Residential Clean Energy Credit (Section 25D) expired December 31, 2025. If you buy a solar system in 2026, your federal tax credit is $0.

The Section 48E Investment Tax Credit (30%) still applies to commercial entities — meaning solar installers who lease or PPA systems to you can still claim it and pass the savings through as lower payments.

System Details

Estimate by

kW

Estimated cost: $22,400 at $2.8/W

Ownership Type

Residential solar rebate

Your Solar Savings

Federal Tax Credit: $0

The 30% residential credit (Section 25D) expired Dec 31, 2025. Owned systems get no federal credit in 2026.

Payback Period

16y 3m

Annual Savings

$1,224

25-Year Savings

$30,600

Net System Cost

$19,900

25-Year ROI

54%

Cost Breakdown

Gross system cost (8 kW at $2.8/W) $22,400
Local utility rebate (Austin Energy) -$2,500
Federal credit (Section 25D expired) $0

Net cost $19,900

Annual Production

Total production (Central Texas) 12,000 kWh
Self-consumed (70% at $0.12/kWh) $1,008/yr
Exported (30% at $0.06/kWh) $216/yr

Property Tax Exempt: Under Texas Tax Code Section 11.27, the added home value from solar panels is 100% exempt from property taxes. Your property tax bill will not increase.

Buy vs. Lease/PPA Comparison

Side-by-side comparison for a 8 kW system in Central Texas. The lease/PPA option now has a significant cost advantage due to the Section 48E credit.

Buy (Cash/Loan)

Selected

Federal Credit

$0

Section 25D expired

Gross cost $22,400
Local rebate -$2,500

Net cost $19,900
Payback 16y 3m
25-year ROI 54%
25-year savings $30,600

You own the system outright. Higher upfront cost but you keep all savings and any increase in home value.

Lease / PPA

Federal Credit (via installer)

$6,720

Section 48E (30%)

Gross cost $22,400
Local rebate -$2,500
Section 48E credit -$6,720

Effective net cost $13,180
Payback 10y 9m
25-year ROI 132%
25-year savings $30,600

Installer owns the system and claims the 30% Section 48E ITC. Savings passed through as lower monthly payments. No maintenance responsibility for you.

Solar Production by Texas Region

Annual kWh production per kW of installed solar capacity. Based on average solar irradiance data.

RegionkWh/kW/year8 kW SystemAnnual Savings*
West Texas1,60012,800 kWh$1,306
Central Texas1,50012,000 kWh$1,224
North Texas1,45011,600 kWh$1,183
Gulf Coast1,40011,200 kWh$1,142
East Texas1,35010,800 kWh$1,102

*Based on 70% self-consumption at $0.12/kWh retail and $0.06/kWh buyback.

Texas Solar in 2026: What Changed

The single biggest change for Texas homeowners considering solar in 2026 is the expiration of the 30% federal Residential Clean Energy Credit (Section 25D). This credit, which previously reduced the cost of a homeowner-owned solar system by 30%, ended on December 31, 2025. For a typical 8 kW system costing $22,400, that is a $6,720 increase in out-of-pocket cost compared to 2025.

However, the Section 48E Investment Tax Credit (also 30%) remains available for commercial entities. This means solar installers who offer lease or Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) arrangements can still claim the credit on your system and pass the savings through as lower monthly payments. This fundamentally changes the buy-vs-lease calculation for 2026.

Buy vs. Lease: The 2026 Calculus

Buying (cash or loan) still makes financial sense if you plan to stay in your home for 15+ years. You retain ownership of the system, keep all electricity savings, and benefit from the property value increase (which is property-tax-exempt in Texas under Section 11.27). However, the payback period is now longer without the federal credit.

Leasing or PPA arrangements have become more competitive in 2026 because the installer can still access the 30% Section 48E credit. You typically pay no upfront cost, the installer handles maintenance, and your monthly lease payment is structured to be lower than your current electricity bill. The trade-off is that you do not own the system and do not build equity. If you rent, many newer Dallas apartments and Austin rentals already include energy-efficient features that lower your utility bills without any upfront solar investment.

Solar Buyback in Texas (No Net Metering)

Texas does not have a statewide net metering policy. Instead, retail electricity providers offer voluntary solar buyback plans with varying rates for excess energy you export to the grid. Most buyback rates range from $0.04 to $0.08 per kWh, significantly below the retail rate of $0.10 to $0.14 per kWh.

This means self-consuming your solar production is worth roughly twice as much as exporting it. Strategies to maximize self-consumption include running heavy appliances (dishwasher, laundry, EV charging) during peak solar hours, using a smart thermostat to pre-cool your home in the afternoon, and considering battery storage.

Texas Solar Property Tax Exemption

Texas Tax Code Section 11.27 provides a 100% property tax exemption for the appraised value added by solar energy devices. If your solar installation adds $20,000 to your home's market value, that $20,000 is completely exempt from property taxes.

With Texas property tax rates averaging around 2.1%, this exemption saves approximately $420 per year on a $20,000 system — a meaningful benefit that is often overlooked when calculating solar ROI. This exemption is automatic and does not require a separate application beyond your standard homestead exemption. Of course, renters avoid property taxes entirely -- find apartments across Texas and let the landlord handle taxes.

Frequently Asked Questions

Did the 30% federal solar tax credit end? +
Yes. The 30% Residential Clean Energy Credit (Section 25D) expired on December 31, 2025 for homeowner-owned systems. If you purchase and own a solar system in 2026, the federal tax credit is $0. However, the 30% Investment Tax Credit (Section 48E) still exists for commercial entities — which means solar installers who lease or PPA systems to homeowners can still claim it and pass savings through as lower monthly payments.
Should I buy or lease solar panels in Texas in 2026? +
With the federal credit at $0 for owned systems, leasing or a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) is now more financially competitive than in previous years. The installer claims the 30% Section 48E credit and passes the savings to you through lower payments. Buying still makes sense if you plan to stay in your home long-term and want to maximize total 25-year savings — but the upfront cost is now 30% higher than it was before 2026.
Does Texas have a solar property tax exemption? +
Yes. Under Texas Tax Code Section 11.27, the added value of a solar energy device is 100% exempt from property taxes. This means installing solar panels will not increase your property tax bill, even though they increase your home's market value. This exemption is automatic — you do not need to apply for it separately from your homestead exemption.
Does Texas have net metering? +
Texas does not have a statewide net metering mandate. Instead, excess solar energy exported to the grid is compensated through buyback programs that vary by retail electricity provider. Most buyback rates in Texas range from $0.04 to $0.08 per kWh — significantly less than the retail rate you pay for electricity. This means self-consuming your solar power is worth roughly twice as much as exporting it.
How much does solar cost in Texas in 2026? +
The average installed cost of residential solar in Texas is approximately $2.80 per watt in 2026. For a typical 8 kW system, that is about $22,400 before any rebates. Without the federal tax credit (which is now $0 for owned systems), the net cost after local utility rebates ranges from $19,900 to $22,400 depending on your utility provider.
What solar production can I expect in Texas? +
Solar production in Texas varies by region. West Texas leads with approximately 1,600 kWh per kW per year due to high irradiance and clear skies. Central Texas averages about 1,500 kWh/kW, North Texas around 1,450 kWh/kW, the Gulf Coast about 1,400 kWh/kW, and East Texas approximately 1,350 kWh/kW. An 8 kW system in Central Texas would produce roughly 12,000 kWh per year.

Disclaimer: This calculator provides estimates based on average solar production data, typical installation costs, and current incentive programs. Actual costs, production, and savings will vary based on your specific roof orientation, shading, equipment chosen, installer pricing, and electricity usage patterns. The federal tax credit information reflects the status as of January 2026. Consult a qualified solar installer and tax professional for advice specific to your situation. This calculator is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice.

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